Updated 1/25/2020: First Round Results
Here are the results from the first round:
Lot of interesting stuff in there. Biden’s the apparent front-runner, Kamala looks like a popular VP, and (just barely) we think that Trump won’t be re-elected.
And here’s a link to the Second Round.
Updated 12/15/2019: WECLOME TO THE 2020 GENERAL ELECTION POOL
We have a bit less than a year to go, and things are heating up. Thankfully none of us have a vested interest in the results of this election.
Let’s look back at the last update from the 2016 Election Pool!
Update: November 8, 2016 It’s almost over! Everyone gave Hillary fewer EVs than two weeks ago, but we all predict her winning handily. Rachel gives her the smallest margin (301 to 237 EV) and Courtney the largest (369 to 169 EV). Most people think Democrats will have 50 or more Senators after this election — the exception is Rachel, who left them with just 42. Nobody’s prediction is identical to FiveThirtyEight. The closest is Kiersten, who disagrees with Nate about McMullin in Utah.
How badly will you fuck up your predictions this year?
Have you learned anything?
Will I, like last time, be too sad to figure out who won?
Fuck you, it’s the 2020 General Election Pool.